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Kamala Harris continues to trail behind Donald Trump in his home state of Florida, according to a recent poll conducted just before her campaign shifts its focus to the Sunshine State. As Harris prepares to launch a bus tour centered on “reproductive freedom,” the poll reveals a five-point gap between the two candidates in Florida.
The new poll, conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies in partnership with The Telegraph, shows that Trump leads 48% of the vote, while Harris garners 43%. This margin aligns closely with the state polling average, which, according to FiveThirtyEight, puts Trump 4.7 points ahead of Harris.
Harris’ campaign is set to kick off its tour near Palm Beach, Florida, close to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence. The tour’s focus on reproductive rights comes in the wake of Florida’s recent abortion ban, which restricts the procedure after six weeks of pregnancy.
While Florida remains a challenging battleground for Harris, the poll offers some promising news. The survey, conducted between August 25 and 28 across 10 swing states, indicates that Harris is leading Trump in five of those states, with Nevada showing a tie.
Florida, a pivotal state in presidential elections, holds the third-highest number of electoral college votes. The state has a history of supporting the winning candidate, though often by a narrow margin. As The Washington Post reports, no presidential candidate has won Florida by more than 5% in this century.
Despite Trump’s consistent polling advantage in Florida, his lead has been shrinking. A USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV poll conducted earlier in August showed Trump with just a 5-point lead in the state, his smallest margin in recent months. Furthermore, a poll by Inquire conducted between August 22-25 found that Harris and Trump were tied in Florida’s largest county, Miami-Dade, with each receiving 47% of support.
As the Harris campaign prepares for its Florida tour, Harris-Walz campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez emphasized the stakes of the election, particularly regarding reproductive rights. In a statement to the Tampa Bay Times, she said, “Our campaign is hitting the road to meet voters in their communities, underscore the stakes of this election for reproductive freedom, and present them with the Harris-Walz ticket’s vision to move our country forward, which stands in stark contrast to Donald Trump’s plans to drag us back.”
The Harris campaign has also recently completed a bus tour through southeast Georgia, targeting rural counties in the battleground state. According to the Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll, Trump has gained a two-point lead in Georgia, while his lead in Arizona remains steady at 1%. In North Carolina, Trump’s lead has narrowed to just 1%.
Nationwide, the poll found that 46.9% of the U.S. population would vote for the Democratic Party, while 44.6% would support the Republican Party, as of August 25. As the election approaches, the Harris campaign is doubling down on its efforts to sway voters in key states.
